Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.065421 0.073781 0.082371 0.091827 0.101916 0.112331 0.123866
2025-05-18 0.052232 0.064720 0.078246 0.093844 0.111199 0.129794 0.151100
2025-05-25 0.043409 0.058330 0.075215 0.095409 0.118597 0.144111 0.174037
2025-06-01 0.034826 0.050772 0.069606 0.092906 0.120419 0.151395 0.188440
2025-06-08 0.028274 0.044693 0.064898 0.090684 0.121896 0.157730 0.201290
2025-06-15 0.024924 0.042163 0.064102 0.092790 0.128170 0.169384 0.220079
2025-06-22 0.021687 0.039354 0.062610 0.093746 0.132834 0.178983 0.236361
2025-06-29 0.020176 0.038715 0.063768 0.097911 0.141336 0.193107 0.257971
2025-07-06 0.017601 0.036234 0.062243 0.098450 0.145205 0.201572 0.272813
2025-07-13 0.017675 0.037686 0.066063 0.105968 0.157867 0.220761 0.300570
2025-07-20 0.014705 0.034104 0.062651 0.103732 0.158022 0.224571 0.309759
2025-07-27 0.013570 0.033318 0.063099 0.106595 0.164655 0.236331 0.328577
2025-08-03 0.011298 0.030493 0.060608 0.105617 0.166628 0.242756 0.341522
2025-08-10 0.010051 0.029318 0.060510 0.107963 0.173035 0.254874 0.361676
2025-08-17 0.008813 0.027970 0.060030 0.109695 0.178593 0.265929 0.380563
2025-08-24 0.006877 0.024895 0.056585 0.106974 0.178026 0.269078 0.389542
2025-08-31 0.005306 0.022199 0.053489 0.104553 0.177706 0.272426 0.398684
2025-09-07 0.004681 0.021484 0.053610 0.106848 0.183814 0.284062 0.418253
2025-09-14 0.003958 0.020365 0.052943 0.107891 0.188153 0.293392 0.434927
2025-09-21 0.003758 0.020554 0.054559 0.112424 0.197384 0.309146 0.459802
2025-09-28 0.003114 0.019381 0.053652 0.113010 0.201047 0.317596 0.475409
2025-10-05 0.003364 0.020830 0.057574 0.121177 0.215474 0.340283 0.509252
2025-10-12 0.002498 0.018722 0.054801 0.118750 0.214828 0.343051 0.517646